<$BlogRSDURL$>
Return to Main Page | Ragout: The Race is Still Kerry's to Lose
Ragout
A Spicy Stew of Economics, Politics, Data, Food, Carpentry, etc.
 
Wednesday, September 29, 2004

The Race is Still Kerry's to Lose


The latest Democracy Corps poll has Bush ahead 49-46 in a 3-way matchup. The survey is conducted by Democratic partisans James Carville and Stanley Greenberg, but it's pretty much in line with most other polls (except Gallup). The Democracy Corps survey also includes a generic question about Presidential preferences: "Now let me ask overall, do you think the country should continue in the direction Bush is headed or go in a significantly different direction?" Bush doesn't do as well on the generic question: the split is 47-51, against Bush's direction.

Since the same group of people were asked both questions, this means that 2% of voters are currently supporting Bush but think he needs to take the country in a different direction. And 5% of voters think we're heading in the wrong direction, but aren't supporting Kerry. So there's a majority that has doubts about Bush, but haven't been sold on Kerry yet. The debates will be Kerry's best opportunity to convince the swing voters that he's an acceptable alternative to Bush.
 
|










































Number 1 in Ragout Economics!

ARCHIVES
March 2004 / April 2004 / May 2004 / June 2004 / July 2004 / August 2004 / September 2004 / October 2004 / November 2004 / December 2004 / January 2005 / April 2005 / May 2005 / June 2005 / July 2005 / August 2005 / September 2005 / October 2005 /

LINKS
First Team
Angry Bear
Atrios
Crooked Timber
Brad DeLong
Econbrowser
Economist's View
Freakonomics
Mark Kleiman
Nathan Newman
Political Animal
Max Sawicky
Brian Setser
Sock Thief
Talking Points Memo
Tapped
Matthew Yglesias

Second Opinion
Stephen Bainbridge
Marginal Revolution
Andrew Samwick
The Volokh Conspiracy

Third Way
Fafblog
NewDonkey

Fourth Estate
Economic Reporting Review
New York Times
Slate
Washington Post

Fifth Republic
Ceteris-Paribus
Econoclaste
Le Figaro
Le Monde

Sixth Sense
Deltoid
The Intersection
In the Pipeline
What's New

Politics & Polls
Daily Kos
Donkey Rising
Electoral Vote Predictor
MyDD
PollingReport
PollKatz
Rasmussen Tracking Polls

Other
Art Sucks
Enzo Titolo
L’esprit d’escalier
A Level Gaze
Approximately Perfect


EMAIL
ragoutchef at yahoo dot com

[ATOM]

Powered by Blogger